Future Trends Economist

Department for International Trade

Apply before 11:55 pm on Wednesday 27th October 2021


Reference number



£34,425 - £44,033
London £38,158 - £44,033 National £34,425 - £40,300


Senior Executive Officer

Contract type


Business area

DIT - SI: Ministerial Strategy

Type of role


Working pattern


Number of posts



Darlington, London

About the job


The Department for International Trade (DIT) promotes the UK across the world. We break down barriers to trade and investment and help UK businesses to succeed, as well as ensuring the UK is ready to pursue an independent trade policy.

We operate in a dynamic international environment that is evolving quickly and is sensitive to political and economic fluctuations. To achieve our goals, we need to understand how the world is changing and make well-informed decisions to ensure DIT adds as much value as possible.

To help guide DIT’s strategic thinking, the Global Futures Group – a ‘futures think-tank’ – sits at the heart of DIT within the Ministerial Strategy Directorate. Your role will be on the Future Trends Team, which is responsible for creating the long-term quantitative analysis that will underpin DIT’s strategic decisions.

Working within the wider ‘Global Futures Group’ you will develop DIT’s analysis of the long-term economic, societal, technological, and environmental trends that will shape the UK’s trade and investment prospects over the next 5-20 years and identify what those trends mean for DIT. And as a member of the Government Economic Service (GES), you will work closely with DIT’s Analysis Group in integrating research into wider policy analysis.

We are looking for an analyst with experience working as a professional economist that will complement others in the Future Trends Team. As such, you are bound to find great job satisfaction in our team, enhanced by a competitive benefits package, a collaborative working environment, extensive networking opportunities and the scope to develop your personal and professional skills.

Job description

Quantitative Analysis – You will use your economic knowledge and experience of quantitative analysis to project how the global economy and global trade are likely to evolve over the coming decades, and what risks and scenarios could lead to different outcomes. You will use your analysis to shed light on the complex policy issues and strategic choices facing DIT in the decades ahead.

Insight – You will have a flare for discovering new data sources that can be synthesised with established macroeconomic, trade and investment datasets to deliver new insights. You will also be comfortable analysing large datasets to draw out clear conclusions.

Collaborative working – A key part of your role will be working with other members of Ministerial Strategy Directorate and beyond to identify gaps in DIT’s longer-term thinking and how to help fill them with. This will include working on a range of trade and investment projects focused on specific geographies (e.g. Asia), sectors (e.g. energy), or issues (e.g. climate change).

Delivery – You will be experienced at converting your analytical insights into engaging reports and presentations. You will be an articulate writer and have an eye for producing engaging graphics and charts. You will also be skilled at drawing out ‘killer facts’ that will grab the attention of your readers.

Values – You will promote and demonstrate the DIT values of being Expert, Enterprising, Engaged and Inclusive.

The role will be based in either London or Darlington. You will be asked to express a location preference during the application process.

Please be aware that this role can only be worked from within the UK and not overseas.

Informal hybrid working arrangements will be available as agreed with the vacancy manager and in line with the requirements of the role.

Most DIT employees will be working a hybrid pattern, spending 2-3 days a week (pro rata) in an office, on average. If your office location is London, you will be eligible to receive London weighting.

Appointments will be made to candidates in merit order based on location preferences.


Essential Criteria

Undergraduate degree in economics or other quantitative analytical disciplines with a strong economics component (e.g. operational research etc.)

Experience of using large datasets and multiple data sources to draw insightful analytical conclusions

Desirable Criteria

Macroeconomic modelling and forecasting experience.

Experience using forward-looking analysis to influence strategic decisions in a policy or corporate setting

Experience of producing publication-worthy analytical reports

Knowledge of the drivers of international trade and investment flows

Personal Attributes & Skills

We are looking for an exceptional analyst, potentially from a range of analytical backgrounds, who can produce genuinely new insights on the future of trade and investment.

You will be:
An experienced analyst: Comfortable using a range of quantitative techniques, including time series modelling and macro forecasting, to produce high-quality reports and presentations at pace.

Open minded: You will be keen to collaborate with and learn from others on the team, while also passing on your own knowledge.

Practical: You acknowledge the limits of your own analysis and will be able to exercise good judgement to draw out insights under uncertainty.

Adaptable: You will be able to re prioritise effectively, drawing on and providing support to teammates as work pressures fluctuate.

Diligent and dependable: You will have a proven reputation for creating accurate work at pace.

If you’d like to find out more about our opportunities, come and meet us at a careers fair in Darlington on the 7th of October. Please contact resourcing@trade.gov.uk to register attendance.


Undergraduate degree in economics or other quantitative analytical disciplines with a strong economics component (e.g. operational research etc.)


We'll assess you against these behaviours during the selection process:

  • Making Effective Decisions
  • Communicating and Influencing
  • Working Together


• Learning and development tailored to your role
• An environment with flexible working options
• A culture encouraging inclusion and diversity
• A Civil Service pension

Things you need to know


Successful candidates must pass a disclosure and barring security check.
People working with government assets must complete basic personnel security standard checks.

Selection process details

This vacancy is using Success Profiles, and will assess your Behaviours and Experience.
We are closely monitoring the situation regarding the coronavirus, and will be following central Government advice as it is issued. There is therefore a risk that recruitment to this post may be subject to change at short notice. In addition, where appropriate, you may be invited to attend a video interview.

Please continue to follow the application process as normal and ensure that you check your emails regularly as all updates from us will be sent to you this way.

Sift will take place week commencing 25 October 2021 .
Interviews will take place week commencing 15 November 2021.

After submission of the first stage of your application you will be invited to complete a Civil Service Numerical Test. If you successfully pass the test, you will be invited to complete the final stage of the application.

Please complete the online tests as soon as possible (within 24-48 hours is recommended), the closing date for the tests is 23:55 on 27/10/21. If you fail to complete the online test before the deadline your application will be withdrawn. Guidance for the test will be available when you are invited to take the test. The tests are administered online and accessed via the CS Jobs website.

As part of the application process you will be asked to complete a CV and personal statement.

Please align your CV with previous skills and experience.
Maximum of 2 A4 pages. Maximum word count of 500.

In your personal statement please outline examples of how you meet the essential and desirable experience where appropriate. Maximum word count 500 words.

In the event that there is a high volume of applications, a short sift will be conducted based on: Personal statement

Applicants successful to interview stage will be required to complete a presentation. The presentation will assess candidates on their ability to analyse and present economic data.

This role is full time only. Applicants who wish to work an alternative pattern are welcome to apply however your preferred working pattern may not be available and you should discuss this with the vacancy holder before applying.

If successful and transferring from another Government Department a criminal record check may be carried out.

In order to process applications without delay, we will be sending a Criminal Record Check to Disclosure and Barring Service on your behalf. However, we recognise in exceptional circumstances some candidates will want to send their completed forms direct. If you will be doing this, please advise Government Recruitment Service of your intention by emailing Pre-EmploymentChecks.grs@cabinetoffice.gov.uk stating the job reference number in the subject heading.

New entrants are expected to join on the minimum of the pay band.

Applicants who are successful at interview will be, as part of pre-employment screening, subject to a check on the Internal Fraud Database (IFD). This check will provide information about employees who have been dismissed for fraud or dishonesty offences. This check also applies to employees who resign or otherwise leave before being dismissed for fraud or dishonesty had their employment continued. Any applicant’s details held on the IFD will be refused employment.

A candidate is not eligible to apply for a role within the Civil Service if the application is made within a 5 year period following a dismissal for carrying out internal fraud against government.

Please note – the successful candidate will be expected to remain in post for a minimum of 18 months before being released for another role.

The Department for International Trade embraces and values diversity in all forms. We welcome and pride ourselves on the positive impact diversity has on the work we do, and we promote equality of opportunity throughout the organisation.

Please note – harmonised terms and conditions are attached. Please take time to read the document to determine how these may affect you.

Further Information
A reserve list may be held for a period of 12 months from which further appointments can be made.

Any move to the Department for International Trade from another employer will mean you can no longer access childcare vouchers. This includes moves between government departments. You may however be eligible for other government schemes, including Tax Free Childcare. Determine your eligibility at https://www.childcarechoices.gov.uk

Reasonable Adjustment
If a person with disabilities is put at a substantial disadvantage compared to a non-disabled person, we have a duty to make reasonable changes to our processes.

If you need a change to be made so that you can make your application, you should:

Contact Government Recruitment Service via ditrecruitment.grs@cabinetoffice.gov.uk as soon as possible before the closing date to discuss your needs.

Complete the “Assistance required” section in the “Additional requirements” page of your application form to tell us what changes or help you might need further on in the recruitment process. For instance, you may need wheelchair access at interview, or if you’re deaf, a Language Service Professional.

If you are experiencing accessibility problems with any attachments on this advert, please contact the email address in the 'Contact point for applicants' section.

Feedback will only be provided if you attend an interview or assessment.

Nationality requirements

This job is broadly open to the following groups:

  • UK nationals
  • nationals of Commonwealth countries who have the right to work in the UK
  • nationals of the Republic of Ireland
  • nationals from the EU, EEA or Switzerland with settled or pre-settled status or who apply for either status by the deadline of the European Union Settlement Scheme (EUSS)
  • relevant EU, EEA, Swiss or Turkish nationals working in the Civil Service
  • relevant EU, EEA, Swiss or Turkish nationals who have built up the right to work in the Civil Service
  • certain family members of the relevant EU, EEA, Swiss or Turkish nationals
Further information on nationality requirements

Working for the Civil Service

The Civil Service Code sets out the standards of behaviour expected of civil servants.

We recruit by merit on the basis of fair and open competition, as outlined in the Civil Service Commission's recruitment principles.
The Civil Service embraces diversity and promotes equal opportunities. As such, we run a Disability Confident Scheme (DCS) for candidates with disabilities who meet the minimum selection criteria.

Apply and further information

Once this job has closed, the job advert will no longer be available. You may want to save a copy for your records.

Contact point for applicants

Job contact :
Name :  Jacob Seager
Email :  jacob.seager@trade.gov.uk
Recruitment team :
Email :  ditrecruitment.grs@cabinetoffice.gov.uk

Further information

Our recruitment process is underpinned by the principle of appointment on the basis of fair and open competition and appointment on merit, as outlined in the Civil Service Commissioners’ Recruitment Principles. If you feel your application has not been treated in accordance with these principles and you wish to make a complaint, you should in the first instance contact DIT by email: Resourcing@trade.gov.uk. If you are not satisfied with the response you receive, you can contact the Civil Service Commission, which regulates all Civil Service recruitment. For further information on bringing a complaint to the Civil Service Commission please visit their web pages: Click here to visit Civil Service Commission/Complaints

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